San José State
W-L: (12-11) PR = 94.3831Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 8- 0 214 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 3-12 215 A Long Beach State BW (21-31, 92.9) 3- 2 218 H Rice AME (31-26, 94.3) 6- 5 220 A Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 6- 4 221 H San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 7- 3 222 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 3- 9 226 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 4- 5 227 A Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 5-15 228 H Saint Mary's WC (36-27, 94.6) 8- 0 301 A Nevada MW ( 6-13, 92.9) 4-11 303 A UC Irvine BW (25-26, 94.3) 5- 4 306 A Florida International CUSA (19-34, 92.8) 1- 2 307 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 8-13 308 H Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 2- 3 310 H California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 3- 2 320 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 16- 6 322 H UConn BE (28-29, 94.4) 0- 8 324 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 18- 6 330 A Santa Clara WC (24-30, 93.4) 3- 5 407 H UC Santa Barbara BW (40-22, 96.3) 4- 5 415 A California ACC (29-24, 95.1) 10- 7 428 A San Francisco WC (27-31, 91.0) 12- 0
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Long Beach State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.17
214 A Long Beach State 3-12 -9 1 --- -9.83
215 A Long Beach State 3- 2 1 1 0.17
218 H Rice 6- 5 1 1 0.27
220 A Holy Cross 6- 4 2 3 -0.65
221 H San Francisco 7- 3 4 4 -0.07
222 A San Francisco 3- 9 -6 3 --- -8.72
226 A Saint Mary's 4- 5 -1 -1 -0.14
227 A Saint Mary's 5-15 -10 -1 --- -9.14
228 H Saint Mary's 8- 0 8 0 +++ 7.51
301 A Nevada 4-11 -7 1 --- -7.83
303 A UC Irvine 5- 4 1 -1 1.62
306 A Florida International 1- 2 -1 1 -1.93
307 H Pittsburgh 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.69
308 H Pittsburgh 2- 3 -1 -1 0.31
310 H California 3- 2 1 0 1.08
320 H UConn 16- 6 10 1 +++ 9.30
322 H UConn 0- 8 -8 1 --- -8.70
324 A Santa Clara 18- 6 12 0 +++ 11.68
330 A Santa Clara 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.32
407 H UC Santa Barbara 4- 5 -1 -1 0.20
415 A California 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.43
428 A San Francisco 12- 0 12 3 +++ 9.28
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Long Beach State 3-12 -9 1 --- -9.83 222 A San Francisco 3- 9 -6 3 --- -8.72 227 A Saint Mary's 5-15 -10 -1 --- -9.14 301 A Nevada 4-11 -7 1 --- -7.83 322 H UConn 0- 8 -8 1 --- -8.70 307 H Pittsburgh 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.69 330 A Santa Clara 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.32 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Long Beach State 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.17 228 H Saint Mary's 8- 0 8 0 +++ 7.51 320 H UConn 16- 6 10 1 +++ 9.30 324 A Santa Clara 18- 6 12 0 +++ 11.68 428 A San Francisco 12- 0 12 3 +++ 9.28 415 A California 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.43 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 8- 0 -7.02 11.41 0.68 1.26 30.39
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 3-12 -7.02 11.41 0.68 1.26 -3.99
3 A Long Beach Sta (21-31, 92.9) 3- 2 -7.02 11.41 0.68 1.26 30.39
3 H Rice (31-26, 94.3) 6- 5 -5.57 12.86 -0.68 1.26 30.64
3 A Holy Cross ( 7-12, 91.1) 6- 4 -8.85 9.58 0.68 1.26 25.79
3 H San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 7- 3 -8.91 9.51 -0.68 1.26 22.23
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 3- 9 -8.91 9.51 0.68 1.26 -5.18
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 4- 5 -5.33 13.10 0.68 1.26 -2.93
3 A Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 5-15 -5.33 13.10 0.68 1.26 -2.93
3 H Saint Mary's (36-27, 94.6) 8- 0 -5.33 13.10 -0.68 1.26 31.24
3 A Nevada ( 6-13, 92.9) 4-11 -7.03 11.40 0.68 1.26 -3.99
3 A UC Irvine (25-26, 94.3) 5- 4 -5.57 12.86 0.68 1.26 34.03
3 A Florida Intern (19-34, 92.8) 1- 2 -7.12 11.31 0.68 1.26 -4.05
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 8-13 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 1.26 -2.65
3 H Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 2- 3 -3.53 14.89 -0.68 1.26 -2.65
3 H California (29-24, 95.1) 3- 2 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 1.26 32.66
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 16- 6 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 1.26 30.70
3 H UConn (28-29, 94.4) 0- 8 -5.54 12.88 -0.68 1.26 -3.91
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 18- 6 -6.51 11.91 0.68 1.26 31.66
3 A Santa Clara (24-30, 93.4) 3- 5 -6.51 11.91 0.68 1.26 -3.67
3 H UC Santa Barba (40-22, 96.3) 4- 5 -3.64 14.78 -0.68 1.26 -2.71
3 A California (29-24, 95.1) 10- 7 -4.77 13.66 0.68 1.26 36.06
3 A San Francisco (27-31, 91.0) 12- 0 -8.91 9.51 0.68 1.26 25.63
------
322.74
|
winning pts = 361.3893 losing points = -38.6503
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------